Холивар по-нашему.
Читайте вот это, и вы поймете, что закат ГК гораздо ближе чем через 20 лет. КНР просто дуплицирует финансовые порядки в ГК, но уже в своей, родной зоночке в зоне, в ШЖ...
"Shenzhen experimental zone to bring HK financial services to mainland
2012-07-08
A district in the southern Chinese manufacturing hub of Shenzhen has been chosen as an experimental business zone that will feature fewer restrictions on the renminbi and capital account convertibility.
The State Council, China's cabinet, approved a set of new policies intended to turn Qianhai district, a 15-square-kilometer economic zone, into the "Manhattan" of the Pearl River Delta, reported the Chinese-language magazine Time Weekly. The zone will serve as an experimental business zone for better interaction between Shenzhen and the modern service economy of neighboring Hong Kong.
The new polices cover finance, taxes, legal affairs, human resources, education, healthcare and telecommunications.
The State Council said it will support the district to roll out pilot programs for innovative cross-border renminbi trading and cross-border loans, and will encourage companies in Qianhai to issue bonds in Hong Kong. The plan echoed comments made a few days ago by Zhang Xiaoqiang, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, which plans China's macroeconomic policies. Zhang said the country supports designating Qianhai as a trial zone for financial reforms.
"Qianhai should pioneer capital account convertibility, but we don't yet have detailed measures," Zhang said at a briefing in Hong Kong....".... к 2020 году!
И ежу понятно, чтп под соусом облегчения расчетов с ГК кроется чисто китайская ловкость по копированию (и окончательному подрыву за ненадобностью) финансово-экономического феномена ГК!
взято отсюда (и из других мест):
http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?cid=1102&MainCatID=11&id=20120708000019